The DemosAU survey from January 5-6 captured One Nation’s +16.6 swing, drawing voters from both Labor and the Coalition amid frustration over housing, power prices, immigration, and net zero policies.
It follows the December 14 Bondi Beach terrorist attack that killed 15 at a Hanukkah event, sharpening debates on security and community cohesion.

Labor holds a 52-48 two-party preferred lead over the Coalition, but analysts note this signals voter discontent that could fragment the right and lift One Nation’s seat chances.