Parliamentary Budget Office projections show NDIS spending on permanent residents and eligible New Zealand visa holders hitting $4.6 billion in 2026-27, nearly 10% of total costs, and rising above $5 billion yearly by the early 2030s.
The Coalition, led by Angus Taylor, proposes restricting future access to Australian citizens only while protecting current recipients, amid criticisms that funds should prioritise citizens facing scheme cost pressures.
Supporters note the original design aids those with significant disabilities who meet residency tests, as the NDIS agency confirms.