The YouGov survey for Sky News, taken February 3 to 10 with 1,561 Australians, captured One Nation’s three-point jump among working-class voters at 34 percent, fueled by immigration backlash after the deadly December 2025 Bondi Beach attack that killed 15.
Labor holds a 54-46 two-party preferred edge over the Coalition, whose internal splits—Liberals at 14 percent, Nationals at 1 percent—highlight its struggles nine months after Labor’s May 2025 landslide.
Analysts call it an implosion of the old order, with both major parties below 50 percent combined, though preferences keep Labor ahead for now.
