A Roy Morgan poll from February 13-16, surveying 2,462 voters, puts One Nation at 26.5%, just ahead of Labor’s 25.5% and the Coalition’s 21.5%.
This surge from 0.5% in the 2022 election reflects voter frustration over cost-of-living pressures and government scandals like the CFMEU probe.
While Labor leads two-party preferred 52-48%, a three-way split hints at a hung parliament, with One Nation pushing policies on migration caps, energy security, and farmland protections.
This now looking as an uphill battle for the ALP even with the rail projects being delivered. West Gate Tunnel failure will weigh heavily as will the $15+B in stolen taxpayer monies. It feels like a change is in the air.
One upsetting aspect of the poll is the great work the government of Victoria has taken on with the Metro Tunnel and the Suburban Rail Loop. You guys would never have these under a liberal government who decimated the rail network and nobbled passenger rail development. Now the government is facing a backlash over the projects the state needed but will not win in the end since the management of the projects was so poor and corruption is now the topic.
The West Gate Tunnel was always a scam and a sham and should never have been built. Trucks avoiding (as traffic planners said they would) and are now opting for Kensington now becoming a sewer for trucks.
It does feel as though a change of government is coming but who will run the state post the election?