![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-26.jpeg\")
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nPremier Jacinta Allan inspects early works of the SRL in Clayton in 2022. Picture: Wayne Taylor<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It shows that by the same year, trains running between Sunshine and Footscray in Melbourne\u2019s booming west, would be crammed with a whopping 270,000 passengers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The analysis by Rail Projects Victoria used the public sector\u2019s integrated transport model, based on public sector population forecasts, and is likely to reignite debate about suburban infrastructure priorities across Melbourne. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
It predicts rail network passenger numbers based on the full 90km loop being in operation between Cheltenham and Werribee, but does not factor in rezoning around SRL stations currently being finalised that will pave the way for suburban skyscrapers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
One Labor minister said the data was not shared with other MPs at the time and that there was little information provided about modelling during decision-making. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cThis is exactly why they didn\u2019t bring the SRL to the general Cabinet \u2026 at the decision-making point,\u201d they said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u201cThey knew western suburbs and northern suburbs MPs would be angry.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n Picture: Sarah Matray<\/p>\n\n\n\n Another said there was a growing political risk about people in Melbourne\u2019s north and west feeling \u201cleft out\u201d while other parts of the city with decent transport links got \u201cplatinum treatment\u201d. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The government rejected the leaked public sector modelling and said a business case \u2013 published a year after the leaked brief was sent to Ms Allan when she was transport infrastructure minister \u2013 showed two-way passenger demand between Cheltenham and Clayton would be 51,000 people by 2056. <\/p>\n\n\n\n The business case says the years after the $34.5bn SRL East opens in 2035, there would be 7900 people boarding trains at Cheltenham each day, and 15,000 at Clayton. <\/p>\n\n\n\n A Victorian Parliamentary Budget Office report released last year estimates building and maintaining just the first two sections of the SRL, a 60km route between Cheltenham and Melbourne Airport, would cost about $134bn over the next five decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Experts say the total cost of the full 90km loop to Werribee would likely top $200bn, but the Government has refused to put a figure on the plan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n While the government spruiks the SRL as an alternative route to the airport, the modelling shows fewer than 500 people a day would take the 60km journey between Clayton and Tullamarine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n There was no data included for expected airport patronage from Cheltenham. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Passenger numbers rise to about 4500 people expected to use the SRL to the airport from Bundoora or Reservoir in Melbourne\u2019s northern suburbs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Herald Sun Report<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Modelling that was provided to Premier Jacinta Allan years\u2019 ago \u2014 but kept secret \u2014 compared the likely patronage of the $200bn Suburban Rail Loop to existing lines, where passenger numbers are many times higher.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":81582,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[273,35,8160],"tags":[8634,993,8,8751],"class_list":["post-81575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-australia","category-breaking-news","category-suburban-rail-loop","tag-jacinta-allan","tag-melbourne","tag-victoria","tag-victorian-government"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81575","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=81575"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81575\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81583,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81575\/revisions\/81583"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/81582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=81575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=81575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=81575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/image-27.jpeg\")
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