{"id":211758,"date":"2025-05-06T14:44:01","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T04:44:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/?p=211758"},"modified":"2026-02-10T12:31:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T02:31:16","slug":"ugly-twist-in-bandt-fight-for-seat-of-melbourne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/?p=211758","title":{"rendered":"Ugly twist in Bandt fight for seat of Melbourne"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Greens leader Adam Bandt is in the fight of his life with Labor\u2019s Sarah Witty to hold onto his Melbourne seat &#8211; but there\u2019s been a big development in the vote count.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>he AEC has conceded it made the \u201cwrong call\u201d on the two-party preferred vote count in the battleground seat of Melbourne, causing mass confusion about the real state of play in Greens leader Adam Bandt\u2019s seat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr Bandt still thinks he can hang onto his seat and beat Labor\u2019s Sarah Witty after an AEC \u201cstuff up\u201d plunged the count and the outcome into confusion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Labor Party concedes they shouldn\u2019t win the seat in theory, but there\u2019s magic in the air and postal votes are flowing their way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-211759\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-768x576.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Adam Bandt. Picture: NewsWire\/Ian Currie<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AEC admits \u201cwrong call\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There was nothing wrong with the AEC\u2019s actual count, simply the methodology it used to decide to do the two-party preferred projections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead of doing it between Labor and the Greens, AEC staff insisted on putting it between the Liberals and the Greens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AEC has now told news.com.au they made the wrong call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe made the wrong call on which candidates to include in the two party preferred count on the night,\u2019\u2019 a spokesman for the AEC told news.com.au.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, the AEC resets the two-party preferred count in three-cornered contests all the time and that\u2019s what they\u2019ve done here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe reset two-party preferred counts all the time. We made the call on the night and I believe we started running the updated two-party preferred vote on Sunday afternoon,\u2019\u2019 the AEC spokesman said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The decision has Labor and the Greens in an absolute froth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn advance of election night, for reasons that f**king confound me, the AEC determined that the two-party preferred count should be between the Greens and the Liberals,\u2019\u2019 a Labor source told news.com.au.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSo effectively, we have not been able to ascertain a clear read on, like, what our two-party preferred lead is, because they\u2019ve only started doing, ALP, the Greens.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1023\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-211760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1.jpeg 1023w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1-300x225.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-1-768x577.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1023px) 100vw, 1023px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sarah Witty. Picture: Supplied.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The scrutineers have arrived<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that\u2019s when the count appears to have slowed down as the major parties sent in their best and biggest scrutineers to peer over every ballot paper with a magnifying glass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLabor is now scrutinising really hard, and the count is going at a glacial pace,\u201d a Greens source said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cYeah, so an entire day yesterday they got through 2000 postal votes. But he\u2019s not conceding.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new count is also throwing out some wild swings in the two-party preferred vote that are confusing people logging onto the AEC website because they suggest Labor is way out in front with an unbeatable lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you take a look at the count in the AEC tally room right now, it has Labor\u2019s Sarah Whitty on a massive 55 per cent two-party preferred.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"575\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-1024x575.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-211761\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-1024x575.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2-768x431.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-2.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>AEC polling as of 2pm Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But over at the ABC\u2019s projected count it\u2019s a lot closer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-1024x576.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-211762\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/image-3.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>ABC projections as of 2pm Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The confusion has left both Labor and the Greens unsure of exactly how the final count will play out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re winning the postal votes at an extremely high rate,\u2019\u2019\u2019 a Labor source said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cAnd the Liberals\u2019 preferences are coming in really strongly to us. We\u2019ve built this really deep lead on postal votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBut because we don\u2019t have an accurate two-party preferred, we don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe don\u2019t know if the lead that we have on postals is sufficient enough to beat Adam Bandt\u2019s election day lead, which we assume based on previous behavior, that The Greens would win on election day voting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe reason we can\u2019t ascertain what his two-party preferred lead is is because the AEC didn\u2019t do a two-party preferred count for Labor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe just don\u2019t know how many preferences went away. My gut instinct is we probably got anywhere between 40 per cent on election day. So, he could be f*cked here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe will get a better steer this afternoon.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Greens leader isn\u2019t conceding<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the count continues, Parliament House has been awash with rumours this morning that he\u2019s planning to concede defeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that\u2019s not true according to the Green leader\u2019s office who told news.com.au that he\u2019s still in the hunt and remains hopeful of hanging on despite a savage swing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABC elections analyst Antony Green predicted on 7.30 last night that it was too early to call time on the Greens leader. \u201cAh, I\u2019m not convinced of that,\u201d Green said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLabor finished second because of what the Liberals did without a vote card. That\u2019s bad news for the Liberals. Now we\u2019ve got the postal vote counted out to preferences, and that\u2019s flowing 75 per cent to Labor, in which case, if that continues through the rest of the count, Labor will win that seat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBut I don\u2019t think that the rest of the votes will work that way. The Liberal, the postal votes are strongest for the Liberals in Melbourne. They also are most likely to get a how-to-vote card and so the preference flows are stronger. I think Adam Bandt will still probably win, but there\u2019s going to be a bit of a fair bit of counting \u2026 to clarify that.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a result, the Greens insist it\u2019s not over, despite the two party preferred vote blowing out on the current count.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>news.com.au<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Greens leader Adam Bandt is in the fight of his life with Labor\u2019s Sarah Witty to hold onto his Melbourne seat &#8211; but there\u2019s been a big development in the vote count.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":211143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[273,999,35],"tags":[13909,16164,12202,993,8],"class_list":["post-211758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-australia","category-australia-politics","category-breaking-news","tag-adam-bandt","tag-australia-votes-2025","tag-australian-greens","tag-melbourne","tag-victoria"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=211758"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211758\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":211763,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211758\/revisions\/211763"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/211143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=211758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=211758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vibewire.com.au\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=211758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}